- Видео 768
- Просмотров 136 087 598
William Spaniel
США
Добавлен 6 мар 2006
Just a professor who studies war and game theory.
Russian Reshuffle: What the Kremlin Shakeup Means for the War and the Ridiculous Reaction to It
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.)
On May 12, the Kremlin announced a reshuffle of its cabinet positions: both Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Secretary of the Security Council Nikoali Patrushev lost those job titles. Much of the media discussion afterward was misleading, though. This video explores exactly what happened, what we know and what is speculation, and how it may affect the war in Ukraine. Also, we ar...
On May 12, the Kremlin announced a reshuffle of its cabinet positions: both Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Secretary of the Security Council Nikoali Patrushev lost those job titles. Much of the media discussion afterward was misleading, though. This video explores exactly what happened, what we know and what is speculation, and how it may affect the war in Ukraine. Also, we ar...
Просмотров: 126 673
Видео
How Seizing Russian Assets Will Change the Invasion of Ukraine
Просмотров 433 тыс.12 часов назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) Recently, the United States made the first steps toward seizing $300 billion in Russi...
How Ukraine's Refinery Strikes Destabilize the Entire Russian Economy
Просмотров 370 тыс.22 часа назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) Ukraine's targeting of Russian oil refineries raises deeper questions about the Russi...
Inside Russia's Final Pre-Aid "Victory Day" Push
Просмотров 300 тыс.День назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) While the world's attention was in Washington D.C., Russia was making notable gains a...
Why Trump Canceling Ukraine Aid Will Not End the War
Просмотров 186 тыс.14 дней назад
Go to ground.news/linesonmaps to stay fully informed on what's happening around the world. Subscribe before month's end and you'll receive 40% off unlimited access! If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election and then cuts all aid to Ukraine, what will happen with the war? Using some lines on maps, this video shows how the basic logic of the argument that it will end falls apart. The ma...
Ukraine Aid Passes: What It Means for the War & Why It Took So Long
Просмотров 359 тыс.21 день назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) After more than a half a year of delay, Congress passed a Ukraine aid bill on April 2...
How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem
Просмотров 503 тыс.21 день назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) For months, Ukraine has targeted Russia's oil industry with drone strikes. Subtly, th...
Israel Strikes Back: Iran's Reaction and What's Next
Просмотров 620 тыс.21 день назад
Six days after an Iranian attack on Israel, Israel struck back with a limited strike on an air base outside of Isfahan, a city in Iran. Are we in a full-blown crisis at this point, or are we about to hit an offramp? And just want exactly are the nuclear risks in all of this? The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement. Media...
Iran's Bizarre Attack on Israel and Russia's Awkward Spot
Просмотров 666 тыс.28 дней назад
On April 13, 2024, Iran executed a large air strike against Israel. What unfolded next was a bizarre series of claims and statements with worldwide implications and the distinct possibility that Iran intentionally set up the strikes to fail. This video covers what happened, what's next, and what viewers wanted to know about the topic. 0:00 Intrigue among Israel, Iran, and Russia 1:00 Background...
Russia Is Still Advancing, But Slowly. Here's Why.
Просмотров 340 тыс.Месяц назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) For the past few months, Russia has been on an offensive in Ukraine. It has been succ...
Haiti's Gang Politics Problem Is Not as Weird as It Seems
Просмотров 134 тыс.Месяц назад
Haiti is facing another political crisis, this time with various gangs wanting to enter the arena of state-building. From an outsider's perspective, this seems bizarre. And it is ... but only by modern standards. In fact, the origins of the states as political entities traces back to a time when roving bandits decided to become stationary, protecting their territory and extracting payments from...
Russia's Deterrence Problem: Why Moscow Was Attacked and What the Future Holds
Просмотров 219 тыс.Месяц назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) The recent Moscow theater attack is just the latest case of the increasing role of mi...
The 2% Rule and Trump's NATO Abandonment Threats
Просмотров 176 тыс.Месяц назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) Alliances, in theory, sound like a great opportunity to combine resources and deter a...
Russia's Declining Oil Capacity and the Deeper Problems of Cartel Politics
Просмотров 414 тыс.Месяц назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) At the beginning of March, Russia announced that it would be cutting oil output as a ...
The Blame Game Begins: The Moscow Theater Attack, Duty to Warn, and Mobilizing against Ukraine
Просмотров 259 тыс.Месяц назад
Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) In the aftermath of the Moscow Theater Attack, an interesting intelligence game began...
Moscow Theater Attack: Its Complicated Origins and Even More Complicated Consequences
Просмотров 414 тыс.Месяц назад
Moscow Theater Attack: Its Complicated Origins and Even More Complicated Consequences
How a French Intervention in Ukraine Would Work
Просмотров 668 тыс.Месяц назад
How a French Intervention in Ukraine Would Work
The Four Great Ironies of the United States' TikTok Ban*
Просмотров 151 тыс.Месяц назад
The Four Great Ironies of the United States' TikTok Ban*
Inside Russia's Looming Demographics Crisis
Просмотров 567 тыс.Месяц назад
Inside Russia's Looming Demographics Crisis
Why Autocracies Have Elections: How Strongmen Exploit Voting for Their Own Gain
Просмотров 177 тыс.2 месяца назад
Why Autocracies Have Elections: How Strongmen Exploit Voting for Their Own Gain
Why a Ceasefire in Gaza Is Such an Uphill Battle
Просмотров 86 тыс.2 месяца назад
Why a Ceasefire in Gaza Is Such an Uphill Battle
Why Russia's Offensive Could Be Self-Defeating
Просмотров 598 тыс.2 месяца назад
Why Russia's Offensive Could Be Self-Defeating
The Problems with Russia's Gasoline Crisis Run Deeper Than It Seems
Просмотров 453 тыс.2 месяца назад
The Problems with Russia's Gasoline Crisis Run Deeper Than It Seems
China's Corruption Scandal: Is War with Taiwan Now Less Likely? (ft. the Robinson Crusoe Fallacy)
Просмотров 247 тыс.2 месяца назад
China's Corruption Scandal: Is War with Taiwan Now Less Likely? (ft. the Robinson Crusoe Fallacy)
Two Years Later: Why Ukraine Is Struggling and NATO Should Be Worried
Просмотров 397 тыс.2 месяца назад
Two Years Later: Why Ukraine Is Struggling and NATO Should Be Worried
The Curious Timing and Consequences of Alexei Navalny's Death
Просмотров 166 тыс.2 месяца назад
The Curious Timing and Consequences of Alexei Navalny's Death
Why Russia's Ceasefire Proposal to the U.S. Went Nowhere
Просмотров 242 тыс.2 месяца назад
Why Russia's Ceasefire Proposal to the U.S. Went Nowhere
How the 2024 U.S. Election Is Already Shaping the Russia-Ukraine War
Просмотров 308 тыс.3 месяца назад
How the 2024 U.S. Election Is Already Shaping the Russia-Ukraine War
Setting a Trap: Why the U.S. Telegraphed its Attack on Iranian Proxies
Просмотров 293 тыс.3 месяца назад
Setting a Trap: Why the U.S. Telegraphed its Attack on Iranian Proxies
A New Front: Ukraine's War on Russian Oil and the Power to Hurt
Просмотров 905 тыс.3 месяца назад
A New Front: Ukraine's War on Russian Oil and the Power to Hurt
While this is bad news for Ukraine because it shows a more serious attempt is being made to fix the Dumpster Fire that is the Russian Military it's just as bad news for Russia in that Shoigu should have been replaced at least a year ago.
I think 💩 tin is just making sure he has closer allies around him, protection 😊 against anyone who wants him out❤🤔
Russia spends too much money per kill to win this war by traditional means, but won’t win it by any means even if it comes to that. They’re fuked
I am against seizures. I consider them theft or nationalisation. UNLESS there is good proof that the assets represent ill-gotten gains in the first place...
I think it’s funny we still haven’t seen Viktor Sokolov almost a year after he did or didn’t die.
This is snarky childish cringe.
Insane. world LEADERS should think again, Maby they should undergo psychological tests. Nuclear war scientists inform us that it takes only 72 minutes to kill 65% of the population that is 5 billion people.Think again Action is needed now
What antisemitism? Stupid Ww2 holocaust 6 mil Jews killed. Who rescue them? Campus did nothing. 1948, 1967, 1973, 1978, 2006, etc, oct 7 . Muslims attack the jews. No good Muslims voice up to stop these killings. Islam is a bad tree, to be destroyed by YHWH of Israel. Saint Ayatollah the mahdi of islam to destroy USA and Israel. Nobody talk against it including Russia, China, Turkey, Iraq, Egypt. Etc etc. Be careful politics is originated from Satan, God adversary. Don't fall into his trap. No salvation besides the name of millennium King Christ Jesus. Read your Bible to know more. Time is short for you.call on Lord Jesus if you don't understand what is going to happen. Shalom.
belousov and criminal charges on premise of bribery means that crazy czar now is thinking about moving all country to military economy and lead neverending war. not a good news for ukraine.
fired. that position in Security Council has no political power, he can only suggest but any minister can flap him bird and secretary of safety council can just suck it
It’s what Americans do lol , we want some thing we rob it , doesn’t matter if it cost lives even , this ain’t nothing to them rofl , such dignity
Theft by any name. Interesting, principal…it doesn’t matter….it is still theft. No matter what sanctions or actions have been imposed on Russia, the USA has always miscalculated.
PROPAGANDA
Maybe there's drama with Patrushev. But probably not. His power never came from his position on the security council. It comes from who he is. Assuming there is no drama, he's just as powerful today as he was last week Shoigu on the other hand looks fucked. Maybe it was after you made this video, but I think a second of his very close subordinates was just arrested and a bunch of others resigned. So who knows whether his future holds a comfy retirement or an open window, but he just went from one of the most powerful men in all of Russia to no one
For once I think you have misread the real role of Patrushev. He may look to have been sidelined but in reality is the silent and deadly KGB shadow that he has always been and still remains very much the trusted in the wings successor to Putin albeit a much more formidable and ominous leader waiting in the wings. Buy contrast Shoigu has been neutralised and stripped of power despite holding a relative token position of power as after all his deputy is none other than nemesis and one loose nutcase Mr Medlenev.
As I understand it Russia’s security council is a place where loyal incompetents go. Medvedev, for example. What Putin needs is to improve war production so he can sustain his wars for the long haul. That involves trade to get around sanctions, finance to pay for things, work force shifts to do the manufacturing while having enough people to die on the battlefield, finding alternative ways to meet necessary consumer demands (e.g. food) while cutting back or eliminating “nice to have” consumer items, etc. An economist makes sense. He also has to cut back on the corruption so war procurement and production are more efficient. Shoigu seems to have been the minister in charge of stealing - a job that needs to cut back for awhile.
Om ni vill ha det som ni har det i Rus som bra xempel jag ska kolla vilken reklam ja ser vilken reklam som är falskt men dit jag skulle rapportera till var faktiskt så det var för att dom som ser den reklamen inte skulle bli lurade på min sida så så länge kan ni lita på vad jag skriver 07
Well, Putin shot himself in the foot there because he sent most of those young men to die on the front lines, the other half have fled the country.
Patrushev was mentioned by Beau of the 5th Column. Who was also asking where's theat guy?
Interesting views. Any cabinet is re-shuffled.
SAMA SAMA KITA SUPPORT FIRAUN ,JANGAN IKUT MALAYA , KITA CIPTA AVANGERS ADA POWER .ANNUAKI KERAJAAN LANGIT
They are friends Ukraine has USA missiles pointed at Russia thats why this stated
Shoigu is absolutely demoted, before his signature was worth a billions now he just paper pusher. That how people demoted in russia - they loose control over money flows (if it's not meant to be public demotion, otherwise you buy place in graveyard)
Obsolete video? 🫣
A lot has changed in a year. Some of these clips are so old.
"This is one of the many joys of Managed Democracy." I see what you did there.
The Peter Principle
Putin to exit via window 3rd floor
What did Blinken say on his recent visit to Ukraine?.. Maybe, stop hitting Russian oil?.. I hope he didn't. 🇬🇧🇺🇦👍
That was a surprisingly reasonable commentary from Mr. Spiniel.😄
6:27 Patruschev's dismissal is strange. I thought he was putin's right hand man. Maybe he still is.
rather than being "sacked" I think he was "relieved of duty" and put in another role that Putin thinks he would be better at but i could be completely wrong on this
The rest of the world doesnt work like the US. Like in Sweden. In Sweden a useless boss gets denoted sideways, often to HR. And I think this is what happened to Shoigu...
Why doesn't the youngest Generation in Modern America realize they are not flying the Palestine Flag but the terrorist Hamas flag. Throughout history, the Jewish people have had enough of being the people who have been abused and killed throughout history. They are now being let down by a mentally sick and corrupt President Biden. Now, investment shares are sold to people who are abusing the honourable American system of buying shares illegally. If these people are not punished soon. America, like the United Kingdom, America's longstanding Ally, will also be finished. I am the first son of Britain's greatest Generation, too young to fight. Where America and Britain's commonwealth fought a World War together. Are we going to let the youngest Generation and murderous Islamic terrorists dictate our world's future? Did my mother and father die for NOTHING! John Eric Hoare, British, Australian, and Norwegian International mariner, RETIRED.
I'd say you ended on a high note. There is at least one more person on the Kremlin that will not be hatching a plan.
The new Shoigu role is a MASSIVE downgrade. He’s gone from leading the largest ministry with the ability to steal an incredible amount of money (all they care about) to being the head of a small institute with like 50 employees. Come on
By comparison, patrushev’s strength has always been in his connections to putin, not his official role. That may or may not remain unchanged, but the role switch is unimportant
Anyone reconsider the Minsk Accord Treaty yet? aaaaaa hhhhaaaaaaa,, After the draft kills off age 25, Ukraine can lower the age to 20. ...then I'll really be able to get a bargain mail order bride!
Interesting video, thank you William! Keep up the good work!
not much of a change. If putin was wanted to get rid of shoigu, hed either arrest him, or re assign him to a political position where he has no power or influence, like making shoigu ambassador of a smalll country
Putin is looking at Stargate show like really weird like he’s undressing him with his eyes 😮😅
I love honesty at least you’re not lying about trying to sell me something but at least you’re telling me you don’t really know what the fuck you’re talking about
Thought I was having a stroke when I heard that. 22:47
IIRTA "Russian Kerfluffle".Which you know. Loving the rants though :P
In Japan they "sack" almost the entire cabinet every election, then everyone gets new jobs within the same cabinet. The minister for foreign affairs becomes the minster for defence, etc. Reshuffling cabinets is very common in many countries.
Like and comment for following through on that ending.
So Shiogu should not stand near open windows.
They all know that war was go on wrong long ago. They having problems with public view and support. It is about winning war and fight against corruption but just for public in and out of Russia. Actually they hope for China and India to do something and save them, as a Cult running the oill business. That is it.
Steven Seagal cameo at 3:04 😂
William spaniel how are you doing ? Keep up the great content.
The Russian defence ministry’s human resources chief has been arrested and accused of bribery in an apparent purge on allies of former minister Sergei Shoigu.